From major to miner
For large, listed, cash-rich operators with established track records, tapping the commercial debt market has become easier since the credit crisis. For smaller or less creditworthy borrowers, or those just wanting to operate in risky African countries, ECA and development bank support is vital in helping access long-term, cheaper finance. As the continent offers up more projects in testing jurisdictions such funding sources will increasingly come to the fore.
Commercial lenders wont consider Africa risk without multilateral and ECA support, and even then debt is expensive by developed market standards a measure of the risk involved. For example, AIM-listed mining group Mwana Africas Freda Rebecca gold mine, located near Bindura, recently drew on a $10 million project loan. The Industrial Development Corporation of South Africa is providing the debt, with political risk insurance from the Export Credit Insurance Corporation of South Africa. Although Mwana has produced an average of 2,569 ounces per month since it opened in August 2010, the debt size is relatively small and the five-year deal priced at 500bp over Libor, repayable semi-annually.
The Democratic Republic of Congo is another no-go area for commercial banks without multilateral and development bank support. The governments recent revocation of mining licences has hit UK-listed copper miner First Quantum Minerals hard, with it losing its license to its best asset in the country, Frontier Mine, last year. The DRC government also shut down First Quantums Kolwezi mine in September 2009 after a review flagged contract irregularities and production delays at the site.
The DRC is simply too challenging for commercial banks, says one head of mining finance. That is one of the reasons why the bulk of Nairobi-based African Trade Insurance Agencys political risk cover is on DRC copper projects. The ATI is particularly sought after by commercial lenders for the sway it has with sovereign governments in the dozen or so African countries it works. Because these governments are also investors in the agency, explains Stewart Kinloch, chief underwriting officer at the ATI, they are more likely to leave developers alone. Governments put their investment in the ATI at risk if they expropriate one of our projects. We can say that if you dont fix this problem we will sell your shares and use the money to pay off the debt. It is a big stick. In a typical scenario ATI cover runs for 1-3 years during the construction period. Once up and running with the risk reduced, operators can refinance. Nor is it all about the margin they can get on their cover the ATI has to support investment across all its member states evenly, Kinloch says.
ECA cover helps in projects involving relatively untested asset types too. In March 2009 the seven-year $167 million ECA and bank debt package for Paladin Energys Kayelekera uranium mine in Malawi needed ECA cover to close. The deal was the biggest commercial international financing in Malawi but risks like it being Malawis first ever large-scale mining project financing and only the second uranium project financing to be undertaken globally, made ECA presence vital.
Multilaterals are prepared to lend longer, pushing the debt levels in a project beyond commercial bank norms. They are also one of the few lender types prepared to finance exploratory projects with seed equity financing, allowing risky start-up ventures to reach the bankable feasibility stage. Operators typically switch to cheaper forms of debt once the project goes into construction.
Multilaterals also come to the fore as lenders in big deals where the bank market is simply not large enough. They will be valuable partners in costly iron ore projects coming on stream in countries like Liberia and Sierra Leone, where capital expenditure forecasts include building ports and roads, say analysts. Aim-listed African Minerals closed a $417.7 million secured high-yield loan to fund its Tonkolili iron ore project in Sierra Leone, though this loan is designed to bridge it to a Chinese equity investment. It says later phases at the site might use debt.
Legacy of the financial crisis
Multilaterals and ECAs increased their presence as a legacy of the financial crisis, when they expanded their role on the continent. Since 2009 IFC investment has leapt to 8 new African mining projects. This is a recognition of minings role in development through both job creation and providing a revenue stream for other sectors, explains Christian Mulamula, senior investment officer for mining infrastructure at the IFC.
As the rise in commodity prices sparks renewed interest in African mining deals, bringing mothballed projects back on stream, ECAs and multilaterals will remain sought after local partners. Commercial bank appetite for mining projects is growing, with South African lenders leading the way, expanding their portfolios up the continent. Botswanas Debswana Diamond Company recently closed a P1.2 billion ($182 million) local currency financing for the Morupule Colliery coal project. The lead arrangers of the nine-year debt, of which half has a fixed rate for the first five years, are Standard Bank, through Stanbic Botswana, First National Bank of Botswana, and Barclays Bank Botswana. The three were selected following a beauty contest that ranked banks according to pricing and speed of credit approvals.
Debswana is a joint venture between the government of Botswana and De Beers, and operates an existing 1 million tonnes per year mine at the site. Roughly 90% of the output of the expansion, to 3.2 million tonnes per year, will go towards feeding Botswana Power Corporations 600MW Moupule B plant under a long-term, fixed-volume inflation-indexed contract. Debswana is a sister project to the much larger $825 million financing for Morupule B, which closed in November 2009 with a cast of Chinese lenders.
Drawbacks and limitations
Yet despite demand for ECA and multilateral involvement, their presence in a deal does have its drawbacks. Larger clubs of lenders make it more cumbersome for a project to reach financial close, slowing down deals. Development finance also comes with strings attached as lending agencies seek to make their own, internal, assessments to ensure compliance with environmental and social impact standards. This is particularly the case in African jurisdictions, given the lack of capacity from many governments to regulate investment according to environmental and social standards. Their environmental and social restraints mean they are not the first port of call. They have their own specific rules and regulations, says a Johannesburg-based banker, adding that European multilaterals stipulate English law, which can be problematic in some African jurisdictions.
ECAs also have their limitations. A project will always need a pure commercial tranche since the amount they lend or can cover depends on the projects spend on goods from the host country. South Africas ECIC wants 80% of a projects content to be sourced from South Africa before it guarantees a project, for example. Timing is also a problem. In some cases it can take ECAs years researching the financials of the buyer and the viability of the project, says one critic. That said, participants note that some ECAs are relaxing their requirements on the extent to which projects have to support exporters back home. They are backing broader, national interests, like locking in the source of supply of strategic commodities. ECAs are becoming much more commercial in their thinking. They are not as restrictive as they used to be, said the critic.
Some ECAs are also reluctant to take on African mining risk Euler Hermes only has one African mining project in Mozambique on its books. South Africas ECIC is the only ECA that will look at Zimbabwe. This has opened the door to Chinese ECAs with a more flexible approach, which are less wary of Africa than their European counterparts. Although on this point bankers point out that Asian ECA finance can be more costly than the European counterpart; meaning developers often go with a European-backed project rather than the Asian ECA because of price.
African mining deals are more likely to get done if they combine a mix of commercial and agency debt. Multilaterals are considered stalwarts of the industry, going into countries to kick-start the sector, playing a critical role in helping to regularise the investment market.
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